Monday, February 27, 2012
Gas Prices Rising in 2012
Source: http://community.nasdaq.com/News/2012-02/gas-prices-rising-in-2012-can-the-government-do-anything-to-stop-the-increase.aspx?storyid=122488
I will begin my first post stating I am not an economics
major. I am pursuing a major in distributed studies that incorporates
economics, politics, sociology and I am taking numerous business classes for my
own purposes. I share this, because I believe the problem of regulating gas
prices is a systemic issue, not a Cartesian one (i.e. Descartes approach of
breaking something apart to see how it works).
Systems theory explains topics (people, problems, etc.) have
interrelations with other topics. Affect one thing, and another is changed
(positively, neutrally or negatively). Economics attempts to make the best use of
limited resources. To me, principles of management, politics, sociology,
economics, technology (among a few) are at play. At times, I believe economists
can be very Cartesian (possibly accounting for industry-wide nonconformity of
opinion on specific topics).
I do not believe the U.S.
government can do anything to regulate the prices of gasoline (with long term
success). In a June 11, 2011
article, in the Colorado Springs Gazette (section B, page 11, titled “Saudis
Ignoring OPEC, Will Up Oil Production”), the Saudi’s wanted to avoid a price
crash (like the one in the second half of 2008 when prices were near $150 per
barrel). Prices plunged nearly 70% from the record-high prices. The Saudi’s
planned (against the judgment of OPEC) to release 1.14 million barrels (per
day) into the economy (to make up for the shortages).
I believe gas prices are regulated by the OPEC monopoly. At
times, rogue decisions are made (like the Saudi’s decision to self-regulate)
for the successful continuation of business. In 2008, Americans chose to drive
less (part of the reason for the 70% plunge in prices).
Economically, supply and demand issues are at play. In
class, we covered negative externalities and corrective taxes (as a means of
explaining gasoline pricing). Our equilibrium (intersection of marginal private
cost and marginal social benefit) and optimal (intersection of marginal social
cost and marginal social benefit) explains how a corrective tax can be used to
derive optimal quantity and price for gasoline. With the OPEC monopoly, such
corrective taxes do not exist (in as much as U.S.
government intervention). OPEC’s economic models probably do not coincide with
what the U.S.
government can do to help regulate gasoline prices.
Dan Baer